MLB World Series 2025 Game 7. MLB Selections: Will Smith Among Expert’s Best Bets for Dodgers vs. Blue Jays World Series Game 7 SportsLine expert Angelo “Amags” Magliocca has offered his top picks for this Saturday’s World Series game between the Dodgers and Blue Jays.
Thanks to six solid innings from Yoshinobu Yamamoto and a ninth-inning comeback, the Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 on Friday in Game 6 to save their season.
This means that Toronto will host Game 7 on Saturday, which will be the last game of the 2025 MLB season. The next world champion will be declared the victor.
The Blue Jays would win their first World Series since 1993 if they won, while the Dodgers would win back-to-back titles.
FOX will broadcast the first pitch at 8:08 p.m. ET.
Tyler Glasnow was used by the Dodgers to secure the final three outs in Game 6 after they had to change their pitching strategy.
Glasnow won’t start Game 7, but he will probably be available out of the bullpen because he just needed three pitches to complete the task.
Los Angeles will once again depend on its two-way sensation Shohei Ohtani, who had his worst postseason performance in Game 4 after allowing four runs in six innings.
Max Scherzer, a three-time Cy Young winner who pitched four and a half innings in Game 3 and gave up three runs, will be his opponent.
The SportsLine Projection Model, which runs 10,000 simulations of every MLB game, indicates that Toronto has a 65% chance of covering +1.5.
Check out what Angelo Magliocca, also referred to as “Amags,” has planned for Game 7 if you’re interested in MLB betting.
Magliocca is a seasoned MLB handicapper who has gained 123.5 units over the last three seasons and frequently contributes to The Early Edge and CBS Sports HQ.
These are his Saturday selections.
Dodgers ML (-133, ESPN): 1 unit
This series has been amazing!
We’re getting a Game 7 for the first time since 2019 because it’s been far more competitive than everyone anticipated.
It’s interesting to note that Max Scherzer began the 2019 Game 7, which the Nationals won in a thrilling comeback to win the championship.
Scherzer is a warrior on the mound, and I doubt Toronto would want anybody else out there for their final game, but I’m a little hesitant about whether he can win his second start against the Dodgers in as many weeks.
In his last start, Scherzer struggled, giving up three runs on five hits, including two home runs, and failing to finish five innings.
The hardest ball was Shohei Ohtani’s 114 mph double, however six of the balls were “hard hit” at exit velocities of 95+ mph.
Being one of the few Toronto pitchers they’ve managed rather effectively, Scherzer may actually be a welcome sight for the Dodgers’ bats given their current lineup and how lethargic they’ve appeared.
Ohtani may only pitch a few innings as an opener because the Dodgers will start him, followed by a combination of Glasnow, Blake Snell, and Roki Sasaki.
On paper, it makes perfect sense to use a number of top-tier starting pitchers to finish this game because it might be difficult for the Blue Jays batters to adjust if they are frequently given different looks.
Both teams will probably have trouble scoring runs, thus I tend to favor the Dodgers with their depth in the pitching.
It appears that the Dodgers have regained the lead after the Blue Jays blew a big opportunity in the ninth inning last night.
It felt like a gut hit to Toronto’s spirits to end on a double play, even if they could have gained some confidence with just one run in that inning, win or lose.
Additionally, Dave Roberts still manages John Schneider better than Schneider, and in a Game 7 situation, that small management advantage could be all that separates the two teams.
There is still significant value at -133 because I personally value Dodgers closer to -155.
Smith, Will 0.5 unit Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (-116, DraftKings)
Here, my strategy hasn’t really altered; I continue to support Will Smith based on his total hits, runs, and RBI prop.
He is currently batting in the No. 2 position in the lineup, where he excelled last night, setting the tone for the victory with an RBI double that gave the Dodgers the lead.
Ohtani will almost certainly be purposefully walked at least once (perhaps more) in a high-stakes game like today, giving Smith plenty of opportunities with runners on base.
MLB World Series 2025 Game 7
In Game 3, Smith singled out Scherzer, but he also had a poor game and struck out several times.
After his confidence-boosting performance in Game 6, I anticipate that he will perform better tonight against Scherzer and the bullpen.
It makes perfect sense to support the road team’s No. 2 hitter at this pricing point.
Teoscar Hernández Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI (+109, DraftKings) – 0.5 unit
The last time Scherzer pitched, Teoscar Hernández had a fantastic performance; he finished with four hits and smashed a home shot off the seasoned righty at 109 mph.
His only hit off Scherzer in that game was that home run, but he might benefit from playing a pitcher he previously defeated after striking out three times in Game 6.
Given that Freddie Freeman and Mookie Betts will be batting directly in front of him and the Dodgers will get a full nine innings of at-bats, it’s worth a half-unit play at this price.
Noteworthy
I don’t see much value in betting on the Blue Jays’ hitting props because, despite being at home, they will be up against a rotation consisting of excellent pitchers.
With Scherzer starting, I believe the Dodgers have a significant advantage.
Hats go to him if he can shut down the Dodgers’ hitters, but the metrics don’t provide much hope that he can halt this offense entirely.
The burden then falls on Toronto’s bullpen, and although they haven’t broken yet in this series, I don’t think they can hold off the Dodgers for very long.
I’d love to see the Blue Jays win as a baseball fan, but to be honest, I’m not sure.
MLB World Series 2025 Game 7 Predictions: Expert Picks and Best Bets for Dodgers vs Blue Jays.
